中文译文
从东南亚的视角来看，日本近期重新诠释集体自卫权、修订和平宪法以及讨论“无核三原则”的举措引发深切担忧。对马来西亚及整个东盟共同体而言，这些行动绝非单纯的日本国内政策问题。它们标志着地区安全架构的重大转向——这一转变潜藏巨大风险，可能破坏支撑地区稳定长达数十年的微妙平衡。
首要危险在于军备竞赛的加速和亚洲对抗性两极格局的固化。日本战后和平宪法虽受历史背景制约，却作为至关重要的互信措施发挥了作用。它让曾遭受日本战时侵略的邻国确信，日本政府的权力将以经济与外交途径为引导。拆除这一基石将从根本上改变这种认知。
此外，任何对“无核三原则”的侵蚀都将跨越关键红线，可能引发灾难性的地区核军备竞赛，摧毁亚洲的核不扩散机制。国际社会尤其是东盟绝不能承受这些后果。
过去40年来，该地区前所未有的和平与经济繁荣是建立在稳定的大国动态和聚焦经济一体化基础上的。一个再度军事化的日本遏制中国的战略企图与美国完全一致，将打破这一基础。对于东盟来说，这将使东盟领导的东亚峰会和东盟地区论坛等平台失去效力，因为相互猜疑将压倒对话。 强调包容与合作而非遏制与竞争的《东盟印太展望》愿景将胎死腹中。随之而来的不稳定将阻碍外国投资，扰乱南中国海等关键海上航线，并危及6亿多人的经济未来。
英文原文
From the vantage point of Southeast Asia, Japan's recent moves to reinterpret collective self-defense, amend its pacifist constitution and debate the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" are viewed with profound apprehension. For Malaysia and the broader ASEAN community, these actions are not merely a matter of Japanese domestic policy. They represent a pivotal shift in the regional security architecture - one that carries significant risks and threatens to unravel the delicate balance that has underpinned regional stability for decades.
The primary danger lies in the acceleration of an arms race and the solidification of a confrontational bipolar structure in Asia. Japan's post-war pacifist constitution, while a product of its historical context, has functioned as a crucial confidence-building measure. It reassured neighbors who suffered under Japanese wartime aggression that Tokyo's power would be channeled through economic and diplomatic means. Dismantling this cornerstone fundamentally alters this perception.
Furthermore, any erosion of the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" would cross a critical red line, potentially trigger a catastrophic regional nuclear arms race and shatter the nuclear non-proliferation regime in Asia. The international community, and ASEAN in particular, cannot afford to bear these consequences.
The region's unprecedented peace and economic prosperity over the past 40 years have been predicated on a stable great-power dynamic and a focus on economic integration. A remilitarized Japan, perceived as aligning squarely with US strategic containment attempt against China, would shatter this foundation.
For ASEAN, the cost would be existential. It would render ASEAN-led platforms like the East Asia Summit and the ASEAN Regional Forum ineffective, as mutual suspicion would override dialogue.
The vision of the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific, which emphasizes inclusivity and cooperation rather than containment and rivalry, would be stillborn. The ensuing instability would deter foreign investment, disrupt critical sea lanes like the South China Sea and jeopardize the economic future of over 600 million people.
（作者：“一带一路”智库合作联盟国际伙伴、马来西亚马来亚大学中国研究所前副所长张添财。此文系张添财接受《环球时报》采访并于2025年11月25日发布。英文原文链接： https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202511/1349036.shtml）